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Current Wind Speed 25 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / MPH at
Spaghetti models for DUMAKO can be found here:
DUMAKO spaghetti models page »
ZCZC 486 WTIO30 FMEE 181247 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 18/4/20212022 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (DUMAKO) 2.A POSITION 2022/02/18 AT 1200 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1 S / 36.6 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST 9 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/S 0.0/0 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 25 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): NIL 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM): 12H: 2022/02/19 00 UTC: 17.1 S / 35.1 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION 24H: 2022/02/19 12 UTC: 16.1 S / 33.9 E, VENT MAX= 015 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK: NIL 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: T=CI=2.0 DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINED MODERATE, FORMING EVEN A TEMPORARY CURVED BAND WHILE LANDING NEAR QUELIMANE AROUND 10Z. LAST ASCAT AND HY-2B PASSES SHOW THE PERSISTENCE OF 25KT WIND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. TROUGH THE WEEK-END, DUMAKO WILL PROGRESSIVELY DISAPPEAR OVERLAND, WHILE MOVING NORTH-WESTWARD. IT SHOULD STILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS FROM QUELIMANE UP TO THE NORTHERN MOZAMBIQUE, NEAR THE BORDER WITH THE MALAWI. 150 MM IN 24H ARE STILL LIKELY LOCALLY. THIS IS THE LAST WTIO20 WARNING ON DUMAKO. THE SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MONITORED WITH THE DAILY AWIO20 BULLETIN.= NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 knots | -18.1, 36.6 | ||
| 20 knots | -17.1, 35.1 | translation missing: en.OVERLAND | |
| 15 knots | -16.1, 33.9 | translation missing: en.OVERLAND |
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