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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Spaghetti models for DARIAN can be found here:
DARIAN spaghetti models page »
WTXS31 PGTW 310300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DARIAN) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DARIAN) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 30.4S 68.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.4S 68.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 32.7S 68.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 31.0S 68.2E.
31DEC22. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (DARIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 854
NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH COLD-AIR
STRATOCUMULUS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER AND ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION
FLARING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. A 310038Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
INDICATES SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A RAGGED CENTER WITH
EXTENSIVE DRY AIR PRESENT OVER THE SYSTEM. RECENT WIND SPEED IMAGERY
REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD WITH A WEAK FRONTAL STRUCTURE. A
301705Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWED 40-45 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY THUS THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD CONSERVATIVELY AT 40
KNOTS. BASED ON THE AVAILABLE DATA, 05S IS CURRENTLY ASSESSED AS A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE BUT IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRA-
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AS IT ACCELERATES INTO
THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 21 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 knots | -30.4, 68.2 | ||
| 40 knots | -32.7, 68.3 |
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