Cyclocane

WTXS31 PGTW 152100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CLAUDIA) WARNING NR 018    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151800Z --- NEAR 21.4S 104.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 104.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z --- 22.5S 103.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY DECAYING DEEP CONVECTION AND A 
FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 151759Z AMSR2 
89GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A DEGRADING LLC WITH FRAGMENTED, SHALLOW 
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP 
CONVECTION OVER THE WEST QUADRANT. A 151529Z ASCAT-C PARTIAL IMAGE 
REFLECTS THE WEAKENING TREND WITH ONLY 20-30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE 
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED CONSERVATIVELY 
AT 35 KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/APRF CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.5 
(35 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE WITH 
MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOL SST 
(24-25C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. TC 07S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN UNDER 
UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL 
DISSIPATE BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. NUMERICAL MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE 
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM 
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE 
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT 
WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE CLAUDIA Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

CLAUDIA storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2020-01-15T18:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-21.4, 104.8	dissipating
2020-01-16T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-22.5, 103.7	dissipated

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