( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 100 knots / 115 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 100 knots / 115 MPH at
Spaghetti models for CHIDO can be found here:
WTXS31 PGTW 150900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHIDO) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHIDO) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 13.3S 40.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S 40.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 13.9S 37.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 15.1S 35.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 16.1S 33.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 39.5E.
15DEC24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHIDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 83
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NACALA, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
(MSI) DEPICTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S AS HAVING MADE LANDFALL ABOUT 15
NM SOUTH OF PEMBA, MOZAMBIQUE AT 0400Z. THE SYSTEM, AT THE TIME OF
LANDFALL, HAD A PINHOLE EYE AND A 150253Z RCM-1 SAR IMAGE SHOWED A
VMAX OF AROUND 120 KTS IN A CONCENTRIC RING 10 NM OUT FROM THE
CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS VERY RAPIDLY ERODED AS IT MOVES INLAND DUE TO
TERRAIN INTERACTION AND THE COMPACT SIZE OF THE SYSTEM. 04S IS
FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUE RAPIDLY
WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH MORE GRADUAL WEAKENING
THEREAFTER. DISSIPATION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR NO LATER THAN TAU 36,
AND POSSIBLY SOONER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
ON THE TRACK OF 04S, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 150600Z IS 966
MB.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 knots | -13.3, 40.2 | ||
| 50 knots | -13.9, 37.5 | dissipating | |
| 35 knots | -15.1, 35.1 | dissipating | |
| 20 knots | -16.1, 33.1 | dissipated |
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