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BIPARJOY Current Status

Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at 2023-06-15T18:00:00.000Z

BIPARJOY Land Hazards

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

BIPARJOY Tracker

BIPARJOY Satellite Loop

BIPARJOY Alternate Tracking Map

BIPARJOY Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for BIPARJOY can be found here:

BIPARJOY spaghetti models page »

BIPARJOY Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE BIPARJOY Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE BIPARJOY Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 152100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (BIPARJOY) WARNING NR 039//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (BIPARJOY) WARNING NR 039
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151800Z --- NEAR 23.4N 68.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N 68.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z --- 24.2N 69.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   161800Z --- 24.8N 70.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z --- 25.3N 72.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 69.0E.
15JUN23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (BIPARJOY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
125 NM SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. BASED ON ANIMATED RADAR DATA FROM
INDIA AND PAKISTAN, THE BROAD AND RAGGED RADAR EYE OF TC 02A HAS
CROSSED THE COAST NEAR THE TOWN OF NALIYA, INDIA BY THE 1800Z HOUR.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS SET AT 55 KNOTS WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
BASED ON A NUMBER OF FACTORS INCLUDING A PGTW CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T3.5, A DMINT ESTIMATE OF 54 KNOTS, DPRINT ESTIMATE OF 52
KNOTS AND A SATCON ESTIMATE OF 53 KNOTS. ADDITIONALLY, WHILE THE 3-
HOURLY REPORTED SURFACE WINDS AT NALIYA HAVE REMAINED LIGHT, THE MOST
RECENT 18Z OBSERVATION WAS FROM WITHIN THE EYEWALL AND THE STATION
LIKELY EXPERIENCED HIGHER WINDS IN THE INTERVAL BETWEEN OBSERVATIONS.
HOWEVER, THE MSLP WITHIN THE RADAR EYE AT 1800Z WAS 980MB, SUPPORTING
55 KNOT INTENSITY. THESE HIGHER WINDS ARE PRESENT IN THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHEAST SECTORS, IN THE CONVECTIVE BANDS OFFSHORE. THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK RATHER SLOWLY INLAND OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTENSITY IN THE FIRST 12 HOURS WILL DROP OFF ONLY VERY SLOWLY, OR
COULD EVEN REMAIN STEADY, AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER THE RANN OF KUTCH
AND BROWN-WATER EFFECTS INFLUENCE THE INTENSITY. AFTER TAU 12 THE
SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER MORE RUGGED
AND DRY TERRAIN. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 151800Z IS 980
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 24 FEET.
//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE BIPARJOY Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

BIPARJOY storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2023-06-15T18:00:00.000Z	55 knots	23.4, 68.7
2023-06-16T06:00:00.000Z	50 knots	24.2, 69.7	dissipating
2023-06-16T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	24.8, 70.9	dissipating
2023-06-17T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	25.3, 72.1	dissipated

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