( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for BHEKI can be found here:
WTXS31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI) WARNING NR 018// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 22.9S 53.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 53.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 23.2S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 22NOV24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 176 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM MEANDERING AND SPINNING DOWN. MORE STRATIFORM FIELDS ARE SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED AND DISPLACED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS ON THE EDGE OF MINIMALLY SUBSTANTIVE 26C DEGREE WATERS, BUT DRY AIR IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY ENTRAINED INTO THE ENVIRONMENT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HEDGED A BIT TO THE GENEROUS SIDE BASED ON AUTOMATED ASSESSMENTS OF 39KTS FROM AIDT AND 38KTS FROM THE CIMSS SATELLITE CONSENSUS. ADT AND DPRINT ASSESSMENTS OF 30KTS FACTOR IN FOR A REASONABLE AVERAGE OF 35KTS. DUE TO THE STRONG DISPLACEMENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE MORE LOWER SUBJECTIVE DVORAKS ARE DISMISSED. THIS ONE IS TOAST FOLKS. TIME TO LET IT GO. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221800Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 15 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
35 knots | -22.9, 53.5 | ||
30 knots | -23.2, 53.2 |
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