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( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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BELAL Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH at 2024-01-19T00:00:00.000Z

BELAL Land Hazards

BELAL Tracker

BELAL Satellite Loop

BELAL Alternate Tracking Map

BELAL Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for BELAL can be found here:

BELAL spaghetti models page »

BELAL Watches and Warnings

REMNANT LOW BELAL Tropical Cyclone Update

REMNANT LOW BELAL Public Advisory

ZCZC 189
WTIO30 FMEE 190024
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 32/2/20232024
1.A REMNANT LOW 2 (BELAL)
2.A POSITION 2024/01/19 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.6 S / 64.5 E
(TWENTY THREE    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY FOUR    DECIMAL FIVE   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST 4 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 315 SW: 315 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2024/01/19 12 UTC: 23.7 S / 63.5 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT
LOW
24H: 2024/01/20 00 UTC: 24.3 S / 62.4 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT
LOW
36H: 2024/01/20 12 UTC: 25.3 S / 60.6 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT,
DISSIPATING
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
(MID-TROPOSPHERE WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR INTRUSION AND COOLER WATERS)
HAVE BEEN FATAL TO THE BELAL SYSTEM. THE MICROWAVE IMAGE OF 2031Z
SHOWS THE ABSENCE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE CENTER AND AN
OPEN EYE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, ONLY A
LOW-LEVEL VORTEX IS STILL VISIBLE. THE SYSTEM HAS THEREFORE RETURNED
TO THE RESIDUAL DEPRESSION STAGE, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30KT.
IN TERMS OF TRACK, WITH THE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM, THE STEERING
FLOWS DRIVING BELAL'S TRAJECTORY ARE NOW MORE IN THE LOWER LAYERS
(850HPA). THE SYSTEM WILL THEREFORE HEAD WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF THE LOW-TROPOSPHERE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, THEN SOUTHWESTWARD AS THIS
RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD.
IN TERMS OF INTENSITY, BELAL WILL CONTINUE TO FILL IN GRADUALLY OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WITH NO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION FORECAST.
BELAL POSES NO THREAT TO INHABITED LAND.
LAST BULLETIN UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION
REGARDS THIS SYSTEM. FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
AVAILABLE IN THE DAILY BULLETIN ON TROPICAL WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
THE SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN ISSUED AT 12Z (AWIO20 FMEE).=
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

REMNANT LOW BELAL Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

BELAL storm path from meteo france

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2024-01-19T00:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-23.6, 64.5
2024-01-19T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-23.7, 63.5	translation missing: en.REMNANT
2024-01-20T00:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-24.3, 62.4	translation missing: en.REMNANT
2024-01-20T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-25.3, 60.6

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