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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at
Spaghetti models for BARIJAT can be found here:
BARIJAT spaghetti models page »
WTPN31 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (BARIJAT) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 34.8N 150.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N 150.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 38.7N 152.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 43.1N 154.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 35.8N 151.4E.
10OCT24. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (BARIJAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
551 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ASSESSED TO BE
UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND WILL COMPLETE TRANSITION
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION WAS ASSESSED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTING DEEP
CONVECTION EASTWARD AND POLEWARD OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRONTOGENESIS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
SUBSIDENT DRY AIR ENTRAINS INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON EARLIER
100236Z OCEANSAT-3 OSCAT DATA REVEALING A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND
FIELD WITH A BAND OF 30-35KT WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE LLCC. HIGH SHEAR OF 35-40KTS AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS
INDUCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE
SYSTEM. BAROCLINIC FORCING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CAUSE THE
SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 45KTS WHILE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND
BECOMING FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE UPPER-LEVEL JET. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | 34.8, 150.9 | ||
| 35 knots | 38.7, 152.9 | ||
| 45 knots | 43.1, 154.3 |
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