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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for AWO can be found here:
WTXS31 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AWO) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AWO) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 5.8S 59.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 5.8S 59.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 5.4S 58.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 5.7S 59.1E.
08AUG25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 785 NM
WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED, AND HIGHLY ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED
APPROXIMATELY 250NM TO THE SOUTH. A 080441Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALED A
HIGHLY ELONGATED AND ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD, WITH 30-35 KNOT WINDS
PRESENT UNDER THE CONVECTION 250NM TO THE SOUTH, WHILE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE LLCC, WINDS WERE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS IMPRESSIVE, MAXING OUT
AROUND 20-25 KNOTS. THE INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY WERE ASSESSED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE ASCAT-B PASS NOTED ABOVE AND
CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW AND FMEE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0
AND T2.5 RESPECTIVELY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE HIGHLY
UNFAVORABLE, WITH THE SYSTEM HAVING RAPIDLY SUCCUMBED TO SIGNIFICANT
DRY AIR INTRUSION AND MODERATE TO HIGH NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR, BOTH OF
WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING IN THE FUTURE. THE REMNANT
LLCC WILL CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN SIDE
OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) FAR TO THE SOUTH, AND MAY PASS
RELATIVELY CLOSE TO THE SEYCHELLES WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HOWEVER, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT (LESS THAN 25 KNOTS) AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE ISLANDS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 080600Z IS
1005 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 11 FEET.
//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -5.8, 59.4 | dissipated | |
| 25 knots | -5.4, 58.4 | dissipated |
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