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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at
Spaghetti models for AGATHA can be found here:
AGATHA spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ31 KNHC 311440 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Agatha Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 1000 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...REMNANTS OF AGATHA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 94.9W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM NNE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Agatha were located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 94.9 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the remnants of Agatha will continue to move inland over southern Mexico today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts are currently expected: Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of southern Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products issued by your national meteorological service. $$ Forecaster Brown/Bucci
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 311443 TCDEP1 Remnants Of Agatha Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 1000 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022 The mountainous terrain of southern Mexico continues to take a toll on Agatha. Although a fairly well-defined mid-level circulation is still evident in satellite imagery, the low-level center has dissipated over southern Mexico. Therefore, this will be the final advisory on Agatha. The initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, and continued weakening should occur today. The remnants are moving northeastward or 045/7 kt and this general motion should persist for the next 48 h or so. Deep convection, with heavy rainfall, extends across southeastern Mexico and Guatemala. This moisture will spread eastward across the remainder of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next day or so. During this time frame, numerical model guidance suggests that the remnants of Agatha will be absorbed within a larger cyclonic gyre over southeastern Mexico. Development within the broad low could occur over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southeastern Gulf of Mexico later this week. Please see NHC's Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for more details. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rains associated with remnants of Agatha will continue over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. This will pose a threat of potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/1500Z 17.3N 94.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF AGATHA 12H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown/Bucci
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
25 knots | 17.3, -94.9 | translation missing: en.REMNANTS OF AGATHA | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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