Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
8 Current Status
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / MPH at
8 Land Hazards
8 Tracker
8 Satellite Loop
8 Alternate Tracking Map
8 Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for 8 can be found here:
8 Watches and Warnings
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 Tropical Cyclone Update
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 Public Advisory
ZCZC 585 WTIO30 FMEE 101315 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 8/8/20232024 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 2.A POSITION 2024/03/10 AT 1200 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.2 S / 38.8 E (TWENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 205 SE: 185 SW: 130 NW: 75 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM): 12H: 2024/03/11 00 UTC: 20.3 S / 37.6 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 195 SE: 305 SW: 285 NW: 0 34 KT NE: 85 SE: 175 SW: 155 NW: 0 24H: 2024/03/11 12 UTC: 20.5 S / 36.5 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 270 SE: 360 SW: 295 NW: 150 34 KT NE: 120 SE: 215 SW: 165 NW: 75 36H: 2024/03/12 00 UTC: 21.1 S / 35.5 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 280 SE: 295 SW: 215 NW: 85 34 KT NE: 130 SE: 165 SW: 95 NW: 55 48 KT NE: 45 SE: 55 SW: 35 NW: 35 48H: 2024/03/12 12 UTC: 22.5 S / 34.4 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 205 SE: 240 SW: 0 NW: 0 34 KT NE: 150 SE: 165 SW: 0 NW: 0 60H: 2024/03/13 00 UTC: 24.4 S / 33.8 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 215 SE: 230 SW: 215 NW: 0 72H: 2024/03/13 12 UTC: 26.7 S / 34.5 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 220 SE: 230 SW: 215 NW: 110 34 KT NE: 100 SE: 130 SW: 100 NW: 0 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK: 96H: 2024/03/14 12 UTC: 32.2 S / 41.3 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 405 SE: 230 SW: 220 NW: 270 34 KT NE: 215 SE: 130 SW: 130 NW: 140 48 KT NE: 75 SE: 65 SW: 35 NW: 35 120H: 2024/03/15 12 UTC: 37.3 S / 53.7 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 270 SE: 230 SW: 215 NW: 140 34 KT NE: 120 SE: 130 SW: 100 NW: 55 48 KT NE: 0 SE: 60 SW: 40 NW: 40 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: T=CI=2.5 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM'S CLOUD PATTERN HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY. A CURVED BAND WRAPPING AROUND HALF A TURN FORMED AFTER 06Z. IN ADDITION, A PARTIAL CONVECTIVE CORE HAS BEGUN TO FORM, ALTHOUGH STILL OPEN ON ITS NORTH SIDE, AS EVIDENCED BY THE 1049Z AMSR-2 IMAGE. THESE ELEMENTS SHOW THAT NAMING STAGE IS PROBABLY VERY CLOSE, BEARING IN MIND THAT WINDS WERE ALREADY REACHING 30KT AT 06UTC. IN THE ABSENCE OF MORE SOLID OBJECTIVE DATA, THE INTENSITY IS LEFT AT A 30KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAGE, BUT LOCAL PEAKS NEAR 35KT ARE VERY LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. MODERATE TROPICAL STORM STAGE IS IMMINENT. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SHORT TERM, ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BETWEEN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, A SOUTHWESTWARD THEN SOUTHWARD TURN SHOULD TAKE PLACE ALONG THE NORTH-WESTERN EDGE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE, WHICH IS MOVING SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR. THIS SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM OVER SOME PARTS OF THE LAND OF SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE, BUT THIS PORTION OF THE TRACK REMAINS QUITE UNCERTAIN, DEPENDING ON THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY AND THEREFORE THE STEERING FLOW'S ELEVATION (A HIGHER INTENSITY WOULD ENABLE A MORE MERIDIAN TRACK ALONG THE COAST, WHILE A LOWER INTENSITY WOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO PENETRATE MORE DEEPLY INLAND). FROM THURSDAY ONWARDS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEASTWARDS, ACCELERATING AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE EDGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, ENABLING IT TO MOVE OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN OCEAN. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING THIS SUNDAY EVENING, DESPITE SOME WIND SHEAR STILL PRESENT IN THE SHORT TERM, THEN THIS SHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN MORE FRANKLY ON MONDAY. UPPER DIVERGENCE SHOULD THEN BECOME EXCELLENT, WITH AN OUTFLOW CHANNEL EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. SURFACE CONVERGENCE SHOULD ALSO IMPROVE, AND THE OCEANIC POTENTIAL IS VERY HIGH. INTENSIFICATION IS THEREFORE EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AT FIRST OVERNIGHT, THEN MORE RAPID FROM MONDAY ONWARDS. MODERATE TROPICAL STORM STAGE SHOULD BE REACHED THIS SUNDAY EVENING. LANDFALL OVER MOZAMBIQUE BY TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED AT SEVERE TROPICAL STORM STAGE. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION CANNOT BE RULED OUT, BUT WILL DEPEND ON THE SPEED AT WHICH THE CONVECTIVE CORE CONSOLIDATES. AS THE SYSTEM EMERGES SOUTH OF MOZAMBIQUE ON WEDNESDAY, INTENSIFICATION COULD QUITE RAPIDLY RESUME DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ON THE EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL TROUGH AND ON WATERS THAT REMAIN WARM NORTH OF 30S. ON THURSDAY EVENING AND FRIDAY, INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE JET AND COOLER WATERS SHOULD LEAD TO THE SYSTEM'S EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. IMPACTS EXPECTED ON INHABITED LANDS OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS: MOZAMBIQUE: - LANDFALL EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THE EXTREME SOUTH OF SOFALA PROVINCE AND INHAMBANE PROVINCE. - WINDS: GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO ARRIVE FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING, AND MAY LAST WELL AFTER LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST (STILL UNCERTAIN, TO BE SPECIFIED DEPENDING ON THE TRACK MORE OR LESS INLAND) AND UNTIL WEDNESDAY MIDDAY IN THE EXTREME SOUTH OF THE COUNTRY. POSSIBLE STORM-FORCE WINDS ON TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE AREA OF LANDFALL. - RAINFALL: 100-200 MM OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE, SOUTH OF BEIRA AND NORTH OF MAPUTO, WITH MAXIMUM ACTIVITY OVER INHAMBANE PROVINCE. - WAVES OF 4 TO 6 M FROM MONDAY NOON UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. ESWATINI AND EXTREME EASTERN SOUTH AFRICA : HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE, BUT HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE SYSTEM'S FINAL TRACK. ACCORDING TO THE CURRENT RSMC FORECAST, RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 100 MM, BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE CONFIRMED.= NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
8 storm path from meteo france
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -20.2, 38.8 | ||
| 35 knots | -20.3, 37.6 | translation missing: en.MODERATE | |
| 45 knots | -20.5, 36.5 | translation missing: en.MODERATE | |
| 55 knots | -21.1, 35.5 | translation missing: en.SEVERE | |
| 35 knots | -22.5, 34.4 | translation missing: en.MODERATE | |
| 30 knots | -24.4, 33.8 | translation missing: en.OVERLAND | |
| 40 knots | -26.7, 34.5 | translation missing: en.MODERATE | |
| 60 knots | -32.2, 41.3 | translation missing: en.SEVERE | |
| 50 knots | -37.3, 53.7 |
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