Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
24U Current Status
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 95 knots / MPH at
24U Land Hazards
24U Tracker
24U Satellite Loop
24U Alternate Tracking Map
24U Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for 24U can be found here:
24U Watches and Warnings
Tropical Low 24U Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Low 24U Public Advisory
IDQ20018 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1854 UTC 24/03/2017 Name: Tropical Low Identifier: 24U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 17.0S Longitude: 152.2E Location Accuracy: within 20 nm [35 km] Movement Towards: southeast [134 deg] Speed of Movement: 2 knots [5 km/h] Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h] Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h] Central Pressure: 992 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 200 nm [370 km] FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa +06: 25/0000: 17.1S 152.0E: 030 [060]: 040 [075]: 994 +12: 25/0600: 17.3S 152.0E: 045 [080]: 045 [085]: 991 +18: 25/1200: 17.4S 151.9E: 055 [105]: 050 [095]: 987 +24: 25/1800: 17.6S 151.5E: 070 [130]: 055 [100]: 985 +36: 26/0600: 17.9S 150.9E: 090 [165]: 065 [120]: 975 +48: 26/1800: 18.3S 150.1E: 110 [200]: 070 [130]: 971 +60: 27/0600: 18.9S 149.2E: 130 [235]: 085 [155]: 958 +72: 27/1800: 19.1S 147.7E: 145 [270]: 095 [175]: 950 +96: 28/1800: 19.9S 144.8E: 190 [355]: 035 [065]: 998 +120: 29/1800: 21.0S 144.2E: 280 [515]: 025 [045]: 1003 REMARKS: The tropical low continues to become slowly organised, with increasing broad curvature evident and transient bursts of curved convection near the centre. The latest Dvorak analysis was based on a curved band pattern with a 0.4 degree wrap, giving a DT of 2.5. MET and PAT were both 2.5. FT based on MET. This analysis was supported by ASCAT-B scatterometer data at 1157UTC, which indicated a broad area of 30 knot winds around the system. Confidence in the location of the system is considered good based on Willis Island radar imagery and surface observations from Lihou Reef. Pressure observations have declined significantly at Lihou Reef over the last 24 hours with an MSLP observation of 991.8hPa at 18UTC. The system is currently being steered to the south-southeast by the combination of a mid level ridge to the east, and an upper level trough moving eastwards across the Tasman Sea. During the weekend, this trough is expected to move further east, and a new mid level ridge should build to the south of the system, leading to a change to a westerly track, taking the cyclone onto the Queensland coast. All model guidance is in agreement with this scenario, although there are some differences in forward speed amongst the guidance, which affects not only the time of impact, but also the length of time available for the system to intensify over the water. The system is located in an area of weak vertical wind shear over SSTs of 29 to 30 degrees celsius. Upper level outflow is good in all quadrants, and may become further enhanced to the south due to the weak interaction with the upper trough. Overall, the environment will remain supportive of intensification right up to landfall on the Queensland coast. The intensity forecast is based on slightly more than a standard rate of intensification; given the favourable environment it is likely that there will be periods of more rapid intensification. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 25/0130 UTC by Brisbane TCWC.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Low 24U Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
24U storm path from BOM - BRISBANE
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -17.0, 152.2 | ||
| 40 knots | -17.1, 152.0 | ||
| 45 knots | -17.3, 152.0 | ||
| 50 knots | -17.4, 151.9 | ||
| 55 knots | -17.6, 151.5 | ||
| 65 knots | -17.9, 150.9 | ||
| 70 knots | -18.3, 150.1 | ||
| 85 knots | -18.9, 149.2 | ||
| 95 knots | -19.1, 147.7 | ||
| 35 knots | -19.9, 144.8 | ||
| 25 knots | -21.0, 144.2 |
site by Hayley Croft
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