Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
23U Current Status
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH at
23U Land Hazards
23U Tracker
23U Satellite Loop
23U Alternate Tracking Map
23U Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for 23U can be found here:
23U Watches and Warnings
Tropical Low 23U Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Low 23U Public Advisory
IDW27600 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1939 UTC 08/04/2023 Name: Tropical Low Identifier: 23U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 11.0S Longitude: 128.6E Location Accuracy: within 30nm (55 km) Movement Towards: south southwest (208 deg) Speed of Movement: 7 knots (14 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots (65 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h) Central Pressure: 1000 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: nm ( km) Radius of Maximum Winds: nm ( km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS STT:S0.0/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 130 nm (240 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 09/0000: 11.3S 128.2E: 050 (090): 035 (065): 998 +12: 09/0600: 11.6S 127.5E: 060 (115): 035 (065): 996 +18: 09/1200: 11.8S 126.8E: 070 (130): 040 (075): 996 +24: 09/1800: 12.1S 125.9E: 080 (150): 040 (075): 996 +36: 10/0600: 12.8S 124.1E: 085 (160): 050 (095): 990 +48: 10/1800: 13.7S 122.6E: 105 (195): 060 (110): 983 +60: 11/0600: 14.6S 121.3E: 120 (220): 070 (130): 974 +72: 11/1800: 15.4S 120.2E: 135 (250): 080 (150): 965 +96: 12/1800: 17.5S 119.0E: 165 (300): 090 (165): 956 +120: 13/1800: 21.2S 121.8E: 195 (360): 065 (120): 977 REMARKS: Developing tropical low (23U) likely to become a severe tropical cyclone in the coming days. Position based on EIR imagery, displaced to the east of the deep convection which is consistent with ongoing high easterly wind shear. Low level centre appears elongated, or there may be multiple centres. Confidence in position is poor as a result. Much earlier ASCAT, at 0116 UTC 8 April, showed 35kn under the deep convection to the south west of the centre. Intensity remains at 35kn with convection to southwest persisting and developing to the northwest. Dvorak: Shear pattern yields DT of 3.0. MET/PAT 2.5 based on a D- trend. FT/CI=2.5 based on MET/PAT as with the poor position DT is not clear cut. Objective intensity guidance is not yet available. Forecast track is based on a standard consensus of guidance. Steering is dominated by a mid-level anti-cyclone to the southeast. Short term fluctuations may occur in the next 6-12 hours as the low level centre consolidates, but a general west-southwest to southwesterly motion is expected until Tuesday, before a turn towards the south on Wednesday. On Thursday, an approaching upper trough could steer it faster and to the southeast, likely as the system crosses the coast and moves inland. The strong wind shear constraining development is expected to reduce in the next 6-12 hours. Development is also likely assisted by a Equatorial Rossby wave moving into the area as well as an upper shortwave trough moderately increasing outflow to the south. Forecast rate of development is less than standard initially, increasing to standard rate of development from early Monday morning. This has 23U reaching category 1 at 0600 UTC today, and a forecast intensity of category 4 (100 kts) at landfall. Upper outflow could be favourable to very favourable for a period, particularly during Wednesday, and some sources of guidance indicate a higher intensity is possible. Ocean temperatures are at or above 30 degrees celsius along the length of the forecast track, reaching as high as 32 degrees celsius in the area of forecast landfall. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 09/0130 UTC.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Low 23U Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
23U storm path from BOM - WESTERN
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -11.0, 128.6 |
site by Hayley Croft
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