(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for NILOFAR can be found here:
NILOFAR spaghetti models page »
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
WTIO31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (NILOFAR) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (NILOFAR) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 65.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 65.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 21.2N 65.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 65.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04A (NILOFAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 281 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME FULLY
EXPOSED AS THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ERODE AND BE DISPLACED
NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO VERY STRONG (GREATER THAN 50-KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS). THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EIR ANIMATION WITH
GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE DVORAK
ESTIMATE FROM PGTW AND FROM RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CYCLONE IS NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND
EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. IT IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER
WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO THE STRONG VWS AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY TAU
12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS
18 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | 20.5, 65.0 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | 21.2, 65.5 | dissipated |
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