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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for KOFI can be found here:
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
WTPS31 PHNC 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (KOFI) WARNING NR 008// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (KOFI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z --- NEAR 30.5S 164.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5S 164.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 35.7S 160.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z POSITION NEAR 31.8S 163.4W. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (KOFI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1034 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS ACCELERATED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS GROSSLY ELONGATED AS THE CONVECTION BECAME DISPLACED SOUTHEASTWARD, PARTIALLY EXPOSING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DEDUCED FROM A 030843Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC KOFI HAS DRIFTED WELL SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS INTO AN AREA OF STRONG (GREATER THAN 30 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FURTHERMORE, A SATELLITE CROSS-SECTION PRODUCT FROM CIRA INDICATES THE WARM CORE HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 01 CELSIUS DEGREE. NEAR THE SURFACE, COLD-AIR ADVECTION IS EVIDENT ON THE MSI LOOP. AT THE SURFACE, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO BELOW 26 DEGREES CELSIUS. ALL DATA INDICATE TC 16P IS FAST BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL AND WILL BE A COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 12. CONCURRENTLY, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO BELOW JTWC WARNING THRESHOLD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 18 FEET. // NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
40 knots | -30.5, -164.3 | ||
30 knots | -35.7, -160.7 |
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