Cyclocane

(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)

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INVEST Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at 2016-03-29T06:00:00Z

INVEST Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega

Mauritius Meteorological Services 2016

La Réunion

Alizé modéré de secteur Est.

INVEST Tracker

INVEST Satellite Loop

INVEST Alternate Tracking Map

Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.

INVEST Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for INVEST can be found here:

INVEST spaghetti models page »

INVEST Watches and Warnings

The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST Public Advisory

JTWC Advisory

WTXS31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281421ZMAR2016//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 001    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   281800Z --- NEAR 15.4S 77.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S 77.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 17.6S 78.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z --- 20.5S 79.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 17 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z --- 23.6S 80.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z --- 28.0S 84.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 77.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (SEVENTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY REVEALS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED 
CENTER. A 281628Z AMSU 89 GHZ IMAGE SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH 
TIGHTLY-CURVED CONVECTION PRIMARILY ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN 
PERIPHERIES, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POSITION WITH HIGH 
CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS BASED ON 
RECENT DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD 
OUTFLOW AND LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TC 17S IS 
BEING STEERED SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE 
TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE SAME STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. TC 17S WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE THROUGH TAU 48 AS 
IT BECOMES FULLY EMBEDDED WITHIN A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM HAS A SHORT WINDOW FOR 
INTENSIFICATION REACHING A PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS AT TAU 12 
UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE STR AXIS. 
HOWEVER, AFTER TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS VWS 
BECOMES UNFAVORABLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. TC 17S IS FORECAST TO FULLY 
DISSPATE BY TAU 48. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT 
LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM 
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 
290900Z AND 292100Z. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 
281430.//
NNNN

meteo france Advisory

ZCZC 452
WTIO30 FMEE 290546
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 1/7/20152016
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  7  (INVEST)
2.A POSITION 2016/03/29 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5 S / 78.4 E
(SEVENTEEN    DECIMAL FIVE   DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT
DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/S 0.0/0 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1005 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 70 SE: 60 SW: 60 NW: 60
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 100 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2016/03/29 18 UTC: 19.9 S / 79.2 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE
24H: 2016/03/30 06 UTC: 22.4 S / 80.4 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, LOW
36H: 2016/03/30 18 UTC: 25.3 S / 81.7 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, LOW
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5-.=
NNNN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

INVEST storm path from cyclocane hybrid

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2016-03-29T06:00:00Z	30 knots	-17.5, 78.4
2016-03-29T18:00:00Z	25 knots	-19.9, 79.2	translation missing: en.TROPICAL
2016-03-30T06:00:00Z	20 knots	-22.4, 80.4	translation missing: en.LOW
2016-03-30T18:00:00Z	20 knots	-25.3, 81.7	translation missing: en.LOW

INVEST storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2016-03-28T18:00:00Z	35 knots	-15.4, 77.4
2016-03-29T06:00:00Z	45 knots	-17.6, 78.2
2016-03-29T18:00:00Z	40 knots	-20.5, 79.3
2016-03-30T06:00:00Z	35 knots	-23.6, 80.8	dissipating
2016-03-30T18:00:00Z	30 knots	-28.0, 84.4	dissipated

INVEST storm path from meteo france

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2016-03-29T06:00:00Z	30 knots	-17.5, 78.4
2016-03-29T18:00:00Z	25 knots	-19.9, 79.2	translation missing: en.TROPICAL
2016-03-30T06:00:00Z	20 knots	-22.4, 80.4	translation missing: en.LOW
2016-03-30T18:00:00Z	20 knots	-25.3, 81.7	translation missing: en.LOW

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