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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for GUITO can be found here:
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
ZCZC 148 WTIO30 FMEE 221455 CCA ***************CORRECTIVE************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 18/12/20132014 1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 (EX-GUITO) 2.A POSITION 2014/02/22 AT 1200 UTC: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 33.1 S / 42.0 E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : EAST-SOUTH-EAST 12 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 40 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :83 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 240 SE: 330 SW: 240 NW: 300 34 KT NE: 150 SE: 150 SW: 130 NW: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1014 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2014/02/23 00 UTC: 35.8 S / 45.3 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24H: 2014/02/23 12 UTC: 38.4 S / 49.8 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36H: 2014/02/24 00 UTC: 40.4 S / 56.5 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 48H: 2014/02/24 12 UTC: 41.9 S / 64.0 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 60H: 2014/02/25 00 UTC: 43.9 S / 71.4 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK : 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS: THANKS TO PARTIAL ASCAT SWATH (0659Z), WINDS EXTENSIONS HAVE BEEN RECALIBRATED IN THE WESTERN SEMI -CIRCLE. AFTER SLOWING DOWN WITHIN LAST NIGHT, SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING BACK SOUTH-EASTWARDS, ROUNDING THE SO UTH-WESTERN EDGE OF THE LOW/MID LEVELS HIGH POTENTIAL CELL EXISTING IN ITS EAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE EAST-SOUTH-EASTWARDS MORE CLEARLY ON AND AFTER SUNDAY AND TO BEGIN IT S EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION FROM MONDAY. THEN SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MERGE IN THE WESTERLY DISTURBED CIRCULATION OF THE TEMPERATE AREA. SHIFTING OVER MARGINAL AND COOLING HEAT OCEANIC CONTENTS (THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING OVER SS T LESSER THAN 25 DG CELCIUS) AND UNDERGOING THE STRENGTHENING NORTH-WESTERLY WIND-SHEAR, THE SYSTE M IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN REGULARLY. A TEMPORARILY SLIGHT RE-INTENSIFICATION KEEPS POSSIBLE WITHIN SUNDAY NIGHT IN RELATIONSHIP WITH ST RUCTURE CHANGE (GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM POST-TROPICAL TO EXTRA-TROPICAL PHASE). LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM THAT WILL BE MONITORED THANKS TO FOL LOWING GMDSS MARINE WARNINGS : - FQZA31 FAPR (WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA 7) ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATH ER SERVICE. NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
40 knots | -33.1, 42.0 | ||
35 knots | -35.8, 45.3 | POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION | |
35 knots | -38.4, 49.8 | POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION | |
40 knots | -40.4, 56.5 | translation missing: en.EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM | |
30 knots | -41.9, 64.0 | translation missing: en.EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM | |
25 knots | -43.9, 71.4 | translation missing: en.EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM |
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