Cyclocane

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FREDA Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at 2013-01-02T00:00:00Z

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Land Hazards

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Tracker

FREDA Satellite Loop

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Alternate Tracking Map

Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for Freda can be found here:

FREDA spaghetti models page »

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Watches and Warnings

Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Public Advisory

WTPS31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (FREDA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (FREDA) WARNING NR 010    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020000Z --- NEAR 20.1S 163.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 163.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z --- 21.1S 164.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z --- 22.0S 165.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4S 163.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (FREDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM 
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD 
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) THAT IS STARTING TO ELONGATE AND OPEN ALONG THE NORTH-SOUTH 
AXIS. THERE HAS BEEN A RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHERN 
PORTION OF NEW CALEDONIA, BUT REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE CENTER. A 
PARTIAL PASS FROM A 012235Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWED PREDOMINANTLY 30 TO 
35 KNOTS WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 
35 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS 
AND THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ASCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES A DEEP LAYERED MID-LATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF 
TC 05P AND AN UPPER LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE OVER THE SOLOMON 
ISLANDS ARE INTERACTING TO CREATE HIGH LEVELS (30 KNOTS) OF VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (VWS) ALONG THE WESTERN HALF (IN PARTICULAR THE 
NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT) OF THE SYSTEM. CURRENT MODEL INTENSITY 
GUIDANCE INDICATES THE LLCC WILL UNDERGO FURTHER WEAKENING OVER THE 
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS IT CROSSES OVER NEW CALEDONIA INTO 
UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES LOCATED SOUTH OF THE ISLAND AND 
INCREASING VWS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS DROPPING BELOW WARNING 
THRESHOLD, SEVERAL MODELS INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RE-DEVELOPMENT 
IN THE EXTENDED RANGE AS THE LLCC TRACKS BACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE 
INFLUENCE OF A DEVELOPING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 05P.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 
25 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FREDA Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FREDA storm path from jtwc

Time	Speed	Location
2013-01-02T00:00:00Z	35 knots	-20.1, 163.1
2013-01-02T12:00:00Z	30 knots	-21.1, 164.5
2013-01-03T00:00:00Z	30 knots	-22.0, 165.9

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