Cyclocane
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
FOBANE Current Status
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
FOBANE Land Hazards
FOBANE Tracker
FOBANE Satellite Loop
FOBANE Alternate Tracking Map
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
FOBANE Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for FOBANE can be found here:
FOBANE spaghetti models page »
FOBANE Watches and Warnings
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FOBANE Tropical Cyclone Update
TROPICAL CYCLONE FOBANE Public Advisory
WTXS32 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FOBANE) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FOBANE) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 30.0S 61.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 30.0S 61.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 30.7S 60.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 30.2S 61.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FOBANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 636 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATING,
PARTIALLY-EXPOSED, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SHALLOW
CONVECTION WRAPPING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON THE PGTW AND KNES FIX CLUSTER, ALONG WITH AN
AMSU-B 140537Z PASS, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON A 140537Z ASCAT PASS. TC 14S IS CURRENTLY BEING PUSHED
GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW- TO MID-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED ALONG LONGITUDE 80 DEGREES EAST.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED DIRECTLY
BENEATH A CLOSED LOW WITH TROUGHING EXTENDING TO THE NORTHWEST. TC
14S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHWESTWARD WITHIN
UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (23 TO 25 DEGREES CELSIUS),
MODERATE (20 TO 25 KNOT) NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, AND
INCREASINGLY DRIER MID-LEVEL MOISTURE, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU
12. AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE IS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 140600Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FOBANE Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
FOBANE storm path from JTWC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -30.0, 61.5 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | -30.7, 60.3 | dissipated |
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