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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH at
Spaghetti models for FERNANDO can be found here:
FERNANDO spaghetti models page »
ZCZC 343 WTIO30 FMEE 150618 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 24/7/20162017 1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 (EX-FERNANDO) 2.A POSITION 2017/03/15 AT 0600 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.7 S / 51.9 E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 16 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 988 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :56 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 190 SE: 430 SW: 430 NW: 150 34 KT NE: 130 SE: 280 SW: 190 NW: 110 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2017/03/15 18 UTC: 35.6 S / 51.4 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24H: 2017/03/16 06 UTC: 39.5 S / 53.6 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36H: 2017/03/16 18 UTC: 44.8 S / 59.7 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, DISSIPATING 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK : 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: LAST NIGHT, THE DEEP CONVECTION, LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, HAS DEFECTED AND REMAIN ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS STRONGLY SHEARED. THE SYSTEM INTERACTS NOW WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. IT APPEARS THAT BAROCLINE PROCESS ARE GRADUALLY TAKING OVER DIABATIC PROCESS. THE TRACK OF EX-FERNANDO IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD BEFORE TO CURVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST FROM THURSDAY. THE MINIMUM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC AREA AND IS FORESCATED TO MERGE WITH A WIDE MID-LATITUDES TROUGH FROM THURSDAY. THIS THE LAST WARNING OVER THIS SYSTEM WHICH WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED BY BULLETIN FQIO20 FMEE.= NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
35 knots | -32.7, 51.9 | ||
35 knots | -35.6, 51.4 | ||
35 knots | -39.5, 53.6 | ||
35 knots | -44.8, 59.7 | translation missing: en.DISSIPATING |
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