Cyclocane

ZCZC 245
WTIO30 FMEE 251229
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 10/8/20172018
1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION  8  (EX-FAKIR)
2.A POSITION 2018/04/25 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 21 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3 S / 60.6 E
(TWENTY SIX    DECIMAL THREE   DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY    DECIMAL SIX
DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-EAST 9 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 40 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :56 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 220 SE: 220 SW: 190 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 130 SE: 130 SW: 130 NW: 70
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1011 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2018/04/26 00 UTC: 27.2 S / 62.1 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, FILLING UP
24H: 2018/04/26 12 UTC: 27.4 S / 65.5 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, FILLING UP
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
OVER THE LAST HOURS, EX-FAKIR KEPT A POST-TROPICAL STRUCTURE WITH A
FULLY EXPOSED INNER CORE. DEEP CONVECTION IS REJECTED FURTHER AND
FURTHER SOUTH FROM THE CENTER, WITH WARMER TOPS.
THE SYSTEM STARTED TO SLOW DOWN AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD,
AHEAD OF A LOW LEVELS RIDGE, IN THE NEXT HOURS. IN A SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT, WITH INSUFFICIENT OCEANIC POTENTIAL, EX-FAKIR IS
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE AND MORE EXTRA-TROPICAL. FROM TOMORROW, THE
REMAINING LOW WILL FILL UP AND THEN DISAPPEAR IN A BROADER SURFACE
TROUGH. UNCERTAINTY ON THE FORECAST TRACK IS MORE IMPORTANT, WITH
SOME SPREAD AMONG THE GUIDANCE.
THIS IS THE LAST RMSC WARNING ON THE SYSTEM EX FAKIR. IT WILL BE
STILL MONITORED IN THE AWIO20 BULLETINS=
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAKIR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FAKIR storm path from meteo france

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2018-04-25T12:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-26.3, 60.6
2018-04-26T00:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-27.2, 62.1	translation missing: en.FILLING UP
2018-04-26T12:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-27.4, 65.5	translation missing: en.FILLING UP

Hurricane Forecast | Tropical Storm Risk | Hurricane Spaghetti Models | Hurricane Names

Cyclocane | National Hurricane Center | Joint Typhoon Warning Center | Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Tell your friends about Cyclocane
make a donation - totally optional but completely appreciated

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.