Cyclocane
(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
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ERIKA Current Status
...ERIKA DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
ERIKA Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
ERIKA Tracker
ERIKA Satellite Loop
ERIKA Alternate Tracking Map
ERIKA Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for ERIKA can be found here:
ERIKA Watches and Warnings
- map legend
- red = Hurricane Warning
- purple = Hurricane Watch
- blue = Tropical Storm Warning
- green = Tropical Storm Watch
REMNANTS OF ERIKA Tropical Cyclone Update
REMNANTS OF ERIKA Public Advisory
ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015 930 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015 ...ERIKA DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE... SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 75.9W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF NASSAU MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All coastal watches and warnings are discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Bahamas, eastern and central Cuba, and southern Florida should monitor the progress of the remnants of Erika. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 930 AM EDT (1330 UTC), the remnants of Erika were estimated near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 75.9 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h). This general motion should continue for the next 24 hours or so, with the remnants expected to move near the coast of eastern and central Cuba today and tonight and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnants of Erika are expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches possible across portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti and eastern and central Cuba through Sunday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. In addition, rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Turks and Caicos Islands as well as the southeastern and central Bahamas through Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with locally heavier amounts, are possible across southern and central Florida beginning on Sunday. WIND: Gusts to tropical storm force are expected in squalls over portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas for the next several hours. These conditions are expected to spread into the central Bahamas this afternoon and tonight. Gusts to tropical storm force in squalls are also possible over eastern Cuba today. Gusty winds could occur over southern Florida beginning on Sunday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system will be available in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the National Hurricane Center, as well as marine forecasts and local forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
REMNANTS OF ERIKA Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT45 KNHC 291331 TCDAT5 REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015 930 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015 Surface observations from Cuba, satellite imagery, and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Erika has degenerated into a trough of low pressure, with the remnants of the center located near the north coast of eastern Cuba. Winds of near 30 kt are occurring to the north and east of the center, and these conditions will likely continue through at least this afternoon. The remnants are expected to move west-northwestward near the northern coast of central and eastern Cuba for the next 12 to 24 hours and reach the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in about 36 hours. After that time, a more northward motion is expected over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The dynamical models suggests that the current strong wind shear could relax by the time the system reachs the Gulf of Mexico, and there is a possibility that Erika could regenerate. Regardless of regeneration, locally heavy rains and gusty winds should spread across portions of Cuba, the Bahamas, and southern Florida during the next couple of days. This will be the last advisory on this system by the National Hurricane Center unless regeneration occurs. Additional information can be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, as well as marine forecasts and local forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1330Z 21.5N 75.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
ERIKA storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 21.5, -75.9 | translation missing: en.REMNANTS | |
| 0 knots | , | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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