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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
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A small percentage of post-tropical cyclones will become tropical again. In that case, this page will be updated again with the latest advisories and warnings.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for Dumile can be found here:
DUMILE spaghetti models page »
Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.
811 WTIO30 FMEE 050050 CCA ***************CORRECTIVE************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 25/5/20122013 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 (EX-DUMILE) 2.A POSITION 2013/01/05 AT 0000 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.1 S / 56.7 E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-EAST 17 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 55 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :56 KM 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 300 SE: 370 SW: 220 NW: 220 34 KT NE: 260 SE: 300 SW: 170 NW: 170 48 KT NE: 90 SE: 110 SW: 0 NW: 0 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1003 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2013/01/05 12 UTC: 33.5 S / 61.2 E, MAX WIND=055 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 24H: 2013/01/06 00 UTC: 39.9 S / 66.6 E, MAX WIND=050 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 36H: 2013/01/06 12 UTC: 46.8 S / 71.5 E, MAX WIND=050 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 48H: 2013/01/07 00 UTC: 51.6 S / 76.5 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM 60H: 2013/01/07 12 UTC: 56.2 S / 84.1 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, LOW 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK : 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS: DUMILE KEEPS ON WEAKENING. LAST AVAILABLE INFRA-RED PICTURES AND NOAA18 MICROWAVE IMAGE AT 2306Z SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS SWEPT EAST SOUTH-EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, UNDER GOING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WIND FIELD APPEARS LESS SYMMETRICAL WITH STRONGEST WINDS AND LARGEST EXTENSIONS INTO THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION. SYSTEM TRACKED NOW SOUTHEASTWARDS. IT IS FORECAST TO KEEP ON ACCELERATE ON THIS TRACK, AHEAD A MID-LATITUDES TROUGH. WESTERLY UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR MAY STRENGTHEN MORE SHARPLY AS IT WILL SHIFT NORTH WESTERLY. SYSTEM BEGIN ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. IT SHOULD TRACK CLOSE TO THE KERGUELEN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM, IT WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED INTO FQIO20 FMEE WARNING UNTIL FINAL DISSIPATION=
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location |
---|---|---|
55 knots | -29.1, 56.7 | |
55 knots | -33.5, 61.2 | |
50 knots | -39.9, 66.6 | |
50 knots | -46.8, 71.5 | |
40 knots | -51.6, 76.5 | |
30 knots | -56.2, 84.1 |
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