(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH at
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ZCZC 484 WTIO30 FMEE 131225 CCA ***************CORRECTIVE************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER: 19/2/20152016 1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BOHALE) 2.A POSITION 2015/12/13 AT 1200 UTC: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5 S / 66.2 E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :NIL 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM): 28 KT NE: 170 SE: 310 SW: 220 NW: 0 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2015/12/14 00 UTC: 25.3 S / 65.3 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24H: 2015/12/14 12 UTC: 26.2 S / 64.8 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, LOW 36H: 2015/12/15 00 UTC: 27.2 S / 64.3 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, LOW 48H: 2015/12/15 12 UTC: 28.4 S / 64.6 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, REMNANT LOW 60H: 2015/12/16 00 UTC: 30.0 S / 65.8 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, REMNANT LOW 2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK : 2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: DURING THE LAST HOURS, DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITH RATHER WARM SUMMITS. THE LLCC IS MOSTLY VISIBLE ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY, DUE TO THE STRONG WIND SHEAR AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. MSLP WAS ADJUSTED WITH THE 23916 BUOY DATA (998.8 HPA CORRECTED AT 08Z). THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, STEERED BY A MID LEVELS RIDGE IN THE EAST AND A GEOPOTENTIAL WEAKNESS IN THE SOUTH. AVAILABLE NWP MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TRACK UP TO SUNDAY. ON THIS PATH, THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BECOME INCREASINGLY BAROCLINE AND WV IMAGERY DEPICT AN INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED TO THE WEST NEAR 60E . THE EURO SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM COULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING TOMMOROW AND BEYOND WITHIN A MORE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING PRODUCED PAR THE RMSC ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, REFER TO METAREA VIII SHIPPING BULELTINS (FQIO25).= NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | -23.5, 66.2 | ||
30 knots | -25.3, 65.3 | ||
25 knots | -26.2, 64.8 | translation missing: en.LOW | |
20 knots | -27.2, 64.3 | translation missing: en.LOW | |
20 knots | -28.4, 64.6 | REMNANT LOW | |
20 knots | -30.0, 65.8 | REMNANT LOW |
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