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18U Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / MPH at

Tropical Low 18U Land Hazards

American Samoa / Samoa américaines
Fiji / Fidji
HEAVY RAIN WARNING A HEAVY RAIN WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN LAU GROUP.
Solomon Islands / îles Salomon
New Caledonia / Nouvelle-Calédonie
La Nouvelle-Calédonie n'est pas en Pré-alerte cyclonique
Vanuatu
There are currently no warnings.

Tropical Low 18U Tracker

18U Satellite Loop

Tropical Low 18U Alternate Tracking Map

Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.

Tropical Low 18U Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for 18u can be found here:

18U spaghetti models page »

Tropical Low 18U Watches and Warnings

Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.

Tropical Low 18U Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Low 18U Public Advisory

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1857 UTC 29/04/2013
Name: Tropical Low  
Identifier: 18U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 13.7S
Longitude: 151.1E
Location Accuracy: within 60 nm [110 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [252 deg]
Speed of Movement: 9 knots [17 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:    
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 80 nm [150 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 80 nm [150 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:    
Radius of 64-knot winds:    
Radius of Maximum Winds:    
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1008 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm [185 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time   : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
[UTC]       : degrees     :      nm  [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 30/0600: 13.8S 149.1E:     085 [155]:  035  [065]:  999
+24: 30/1800: 13.2S 146.7E:     110 [200]:  045  [085]:  996
+36: 01/0600: 12.6S 144.3E:     130 [240]:  045  [085]:     
+48: 01/1800: 11.6S 141.8E:     150 [275]:  030  [055]: 1004
+60: 02/0600: 10.4S 139.0E:     170 [310]:  025  [045]: 1007
+72: 02/1800:  9.6S 140.9E:     185 [345]:  025  [045]: 1008
REMARKS:
The tropical low was located using IR and microwave imagery. Moderate convection
persists near the centre with increasing curvature over the last four to six
hours. FT based on poorly defined DT of 2.5 [curved band of 0.4 on IR], MET and
PAT give 2.5. Winds are likely strongest on the southern side in the E/SE flow
assisted by synoptic forcing and storm motion. 

The broadscale environment is generally conducive for development, the vertical
shear being low and reasonable upper level outflow. Slow development has been
observed over the past 6 hours and there is the potential for further
development overnight with the diurnal convective cycle so it may intensify into
a tropical cyclone from late this morning. Gales remain most likely in the
southern sector.

The low should continue moving to the west-northwest and accelerate somewhat
under the influence of a developing mid-level ridge across Queensland and the
central Coral Sea. 

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 30/0100 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Low 18U Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

18U storm path from BOM - BRISBANE

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots -13.7, 151.1
35 knots -13.8, 149.1
45 knots -13.2, 146.7
45 knots -12.6, 144.3
30 knots -11.6, 141.8
25 knots -10.4, 139.0
25 knots -9.6, 140.9


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