(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
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Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for 08F can be found here:
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 142020 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F CENTRE 996HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 164.6W AT 141800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR GOES IR IMAGERY. DEPRESSION SLOW MOVING. MAXIMUM 10 MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS TRYING TO WRAP AROUND LLCC. ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED PAST 12 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE REGION AND IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.55 WRAP YEILDS DT=2.5, MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. THUS YIELDING T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS. GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN A SOUTHWARD TRACK WITH FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS HIGH. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 150600 UTC 14.4S 165.0W MOV SW AT 03KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 151800 UTC 14.8S 165.3W MOV SW AT 03KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK AT 36 HRS VALID AT 160600 UTC 15.2S 165.5W MOV SSW AT 03KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 161800 UTC 15.9S 165.5W MOV SSW AT 03KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TD08F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 150200 UTC.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | -13.8, -164.6 | ||
35 knots | -14.4, -165.0 | ||
40 knots | -14.8, -165.3 | ||
40 knots | -15.2, -165.5 | ||
45 knots | -15.9, -165.5 |
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