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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for TARA can be found here:
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 170232 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Remnants Of Tara Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222018 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018 ...TARA DISSIPATES NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 105.5W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Tara were located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 105.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue overnight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnants of Tara are expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over the Mexican states of Colima and western Jalisco, through tonight, with isolated maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches possible. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 170233 TCDEP2 Remnants Of Tara Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222018 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018 Data from several recent microwave overpasses, last-light visible imagery, and surface observations from Mexico indicate that Tara no longer has a well-defined surface center. The mid-level center of the former tropical cyclone appeared to move inland earlier this evening, though it is unclear whether the surface center made it that far. Regardless, the high terrain of Mexico has caused the surface circulation to open into a trough of low pressure and dissipate. This is the last NHC advisory on Tara. Although the remnant trough will likely produce intermittent convection near the coast of Mexico tonight, continued close proximity to land should prevent it from reorganizing into a tropical cyclone, and all of the global models indicate that the remnants will gradual weaken over the next 12 hours or so. Although Tara is no longer a tropical depression, its remnants could still cause heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico overnight. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides will be possible in mountainous areas. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/0300Z 20.0N 105.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...REMNANTS OF TARA 12H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 20.0, -105.5 | translation missing: en.REMNANTS OF TARA | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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