( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for PABLO can be found here:
000 WTNT33 KNHC 281438 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 ...COLD WATERS FINALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON PABLO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.8N 17.7W ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo was located near latitude 46.8 North, longitude 17.7 West. Pablo is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a slow north to northwest motion is expected over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. Gale-force winds, some of which are not directly associated with Pablo, are expected to persist well to the north of the cyclone through at least Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Pablo. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at: metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. $$ Forecaster Latto
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTNT43 KNHC 281440 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to 35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with Pablo. The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
|35 knots||46.8, -17.7||translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL|
|35 knots||47.4, -17.9||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|35 knots||48.5, -18.3||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|0 knots||translation missing: en.DISSIPATED|
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