Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

MANGGA Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at

MANGGA Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega
Winter 2020 - Seasonal Outlook
La Réunion

MANGGA Tracker

MANGGA Satellite Loop

MANGGA Alternate Tracking Map

MANGGA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for MANGGA can be found here:

MANGGA spaghetti models page »

MANGGA Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE MANGGA Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE MANGGA Public Advisory

WTXS31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (MANGGA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (MANGGA) WARNING NR 012    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z --- NEAR 21.6S 104.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 44 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S 104.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 26.3S 110.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            350 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 22.8S 106.2E.
23MAY20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 27S (MANGGA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
525 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 
44 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN ELONGATED CONVECTIVE REGION WITH NO 
CLEAR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS ALSO A LARGE 
STRATOCUMULUS FIELD TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTIVE REGION, 
SUGGESTING COLD AIR IS WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION. THE LACK OF 
A CLEAR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PROVIDES VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE 
INITIAL POSITION. THE 35 KT INITIAL INTENSITY STEMS FROM A PARTIAL 
231502Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS THAT SHOWS A FEW 35 KT WIND BARBS TO 
THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE PGTW DVORAK FIX INTENSITY IS T1.0 
(25 KTS), BELOW THE CURRENT INTENSITY. HIGH (35-40 KT) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR AND COOL (25-26 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OFFSET 
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW TO MAKE THE ENVIRONMENT UNFAVORABLE FOR 
A TROPICAL CYCLONE. BASED ON THE CLOUD SIGNATURE AND ENVIRONMENT, 
TC 27S IS ASSESSED AS EXTRATROPICAL. TC 27S WILL CONTINUE ALONG 
THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND 
INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY, WITH AN EXPANDING 34-KT WIND FIELD, AS IT 
TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE TRACK FORECAST 
IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS, CONSISTENT 
WITH THE CURRENT TRACK. WITH TAU 12 SPREAD AT ALMOST 290 NM AND 
THE HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS LOW 
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING 
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE 
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 25 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE MANGGA Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

MANGGA storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots -21.6, 104.7
40 knots -26.3, 110.7


Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Cyclone and Hurricane Names

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.