Cyclocane

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Irondro Storm Tracker

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Current View of the South Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is high.

South Indian Active Storms

ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 11


2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 13.3S 70.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 69.1E, APPROXIMATELY 337 
      NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
      IMAGERY AND A 011153Z SSMIS F-16 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
      BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION, 
      SURROUNDED BY FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. 
      A 011613Z METOP-A PARTIAL ASCAT IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED LLC WITH 
      20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. 91S IS CURRENTLY IN A 
      MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH (25 TO 30 KNOT) VERTICAL 
      WIND SHEAR BEING OFFSET BY NEAR RADIAL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM 
      (30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
      GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91S WILL CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT 
      CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
      ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
      ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. 
      SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 011300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
         C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
      NNNN


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