Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

Desmond Storm Tracker

Desmond is not yet active.

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Other future tropical cyclones:


Current View of the South Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is low.

South Indian Active Storms

No active storms


2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.8S 
      34.6E, APPROXIMATELY 333 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED 
      ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK, BROAD LOW LEVEL 
      TURNING OVERLAND IN EASTERN MOZAMBIQUE. A 171443Z 89GHZ MHS IMAGE 
      INDICATES THERE IS DISORGANIZED, SCATTERED CONVECTION IN THE GENERAL 
      VICINITY. 94S IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 
      KTS) AND WEAK DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW. AS THE SYSTEM TRACKER TOWARDS THE 
      MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, 94S WILL ENCOUNTER LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 
      KTS) AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) WHICH WILL SUPPORT RAPID 
      DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE 
      EASTWARD BUT VARY ON THE EXACT TIMING OF ITS EMERGENCE OVER WATER AND 
      THE STRENGTH OF ITS DEVELOPMENT. THE SPECTRUM OF INTENSITY VARIES FROM 
      GFS HAVING BORDERLINE DEVELOPMENT TO ECMWF INDICATING 94S WILL REACH 
      TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
      WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
      ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
      OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
      NNNN


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