Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

08U Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / MPH at

08U Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega
AUCUN AVIS DE FORTE PLUIE N'EST EN VIGUEUR A MAURICE.
La Réunion

08U Tracker

08U Satellite Loop

08U Alternate Tracking Map

08U Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for 08U can be found here:

08U spaghetti models page »

08U Watches and Warnings

Tropical Low 08U Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Low 08U Public Advisory

IDW27600
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION
Issued by PERTH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1808 UTC 05/01/2018
Name: Tropical Low  
Identifier: 08U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 12.3S
Longitude: 92.6E
Location Accuracy: within 45 nm [85 km]
Movement Towards: southwest [229 deg]
Speed of Movement: 9 knots [17 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 40 knots [75 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 55 knots [100 km/h]
Central Pressure: 994 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:    
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:    
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:    
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:    
Radius of 64-knot winds:    
Radius of Maximum Winds: 40 nm [75 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5 D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.0/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 180 nm [335 km]
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
[UTC]        : degrees     :      nm  [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+06:  06/0000: 12.6S  91.7E:     050 [095]:  040  [075]:  994
+12:  06/0600: 13.0S  90.4E:     055 [100]:  040  [075]:  994
+18:  06/1200: 13.3S  89.3E:     065 [125]:  040  [075]:  994
+24:  06/1800: 13.5S  88.1E:     080 [145]:  040  [075]:  992
+36:  07/0600: 14.4S  85.5E:     100 [185]:  045  [085]:  990
+48:  07/1800: 16.0S  82.8E:     120 [220]:  045  [085]:  990
+60:  08/0600: 17.8S  80.1E:     140 [255]:  050  [095]:  988
+72:  08/1800: 20.9S  77.0E:     155 [290]:  050  [095]:  988
+96:  09/1800: 25.3S  72.5E:     200 [370]:  040  [075]:  991
+120: 10/1800: 33.0S  71.9E:     290 [535]:  030  [055]:  997
REMARKS:
Tropical low 08U has developed over the past 24 hours. T1.0 was assigned at 04
0600 UTC. 

Dvorak FT/CI is currently 2.5. During the afternoon a curved band pattern could
be applied yielding a DT of 2.5. Development is D and no adjustment was made.
Final intensity is set at 40 knots [in western quadrants] based on ASCAT passes
Friday morning.

UW-CIMSS at 05 0600 UTC indicated E'ly shear between 30 and 40 knots. Though
convection is located in only western quadrants this estimate seems a little
high given the proximity of the estimated location of the centre to the
convection.

SSTs in the area are about 28C with TC Heat Potential not particularly
favourable.

08U is expected to continue gradual development into a tropical cyclone, most
likely during Saturday. Gales may be occurring in the western semi circle under
the deep convection.

08U is being steered by a mid level ridge to the southeast. The majority of NWP
indicates consistent west to southwest motion with the system crossing 90E [La
Reunion Area of Responsibility] between 06 0000 and 06 0600 UTC. 

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 06/0130 UTC by Perth TCWC.

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Low 08U Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

08U storm path from BOM - PERTH

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots -12.3, 92.6
40 knots -12.6, 91.7
40 knots -13.0, 90.4
40 knots -13.3, 89.3
40 knots -13.5, 88.1
45 knots -14.4, 85.5
45 knots -16.0, 82.8
50 knots -17.8, 80.1
50 knots -20.9, 77.0
40 knots -25.3, 72.5
30 knots -33.0, 71.9


Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Hurricane Names

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.