Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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FOUR Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at 2025-10-20T06:00:00.000Z

FOUR Land Hazards

FOUR Tracker

FOUR Satellite Loop

FOUR Alternate Tracking Map

FOUR Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FOUR can be found here:

FOUR spaghetti models page »

FOUR Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Public Advisory

WTXS31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR) WARNING NR 004    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   181800Z --- NEAR 8.2S 71.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.2S 71.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 8.5S 69.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 8.8S 68.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 9.0S 67.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z --- 9.3S 66.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   211800Z --- 9.9S 63.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   221800Z --- 10.6S 60.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z --- 10.6S 56.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 8.3S 71.3E.
18OCT25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 81 NM
SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 181800Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
190900Z AND 192100Z.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FOUR storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-10-18T18:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-8.2, 71.7
2025-10-19T06:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-8.5, 69.9
2025-10-19T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-8.8, 68.5
2025-10-20T06:00:00.000Z	45 knots	-9.0, 67.4
2025-10-20T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-9.3, 66.3
2025-10-21T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-9.9, 63.9
2025-10-22T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-10.6, 60.4
2025-10-23T18:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-10.6, 56.7

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